Posted by Kevin Durso
It's that time of year again. That's right, the Phillies are just 21 combined wins and Braves' losses away from their fifth straight division title. Hard to believe when it's only September 2nd.
A whole lot of numbers have come out since the Phillies won their game yesterday against the Reds. Here's a look at a few:
So, you might just want to pay attention to the history coming your way. If you're looking for the likeliness of these events happening, figure this. The Phillies have 29 games left. To get to 100 wins, the Phillies need to go 13-16 in those games, three games below .500. To tie the franchise record, they need to go 14-15, also a record below .500. And for the franchise record, the Phillies need just a 15-14 record. Here's how easy getting to that mark looks. If the Phillies win every series from now until the end of the season, they would finish with a record of 20-9 (including a spilt of their September 15th doubleheader with the Marlins).
To put into perspective just how much control they have on the division, the Phillies could play .500 baseball, at 14-15, the rest of the season, and the Braves would need an astonishing 22-5 record to win the NL East. And six of those games would be against the Phillies. So, assume this…the Phillies are (essentially) in the playoffs. The Phillies will (sooner or later) clinch the NL East. So take every loss until October with a grain of salt, because as long as the Phillies stay on track to finish their record-setting season, everything else will just fall into place.