Bram Welch has been writing about sports betting and iGaming for over six years. He started as a freelancer before joining our team in 2022. He has worked teaching English as a foreign language and as a journalist for the UK's largest regional newspaper.
All posts by Bram WelchEuro 2024 is fast approaching, and the race for the Golden Boot is heating up. Understanding the UEFA Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer odds can give you a crucial edge in your betting strategy.
In this article, we’ll examine the latest odds for the favorites, highlight the top goalscorers from the qualifiers, and review historical trends and statistics.
We’ll also provide expert Euro 2024 betting tips for the top goalscorer market to help you make informed decisions, ensuring you stay ahead in the search for the next Golden Boot winner.
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Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds
Let’s start by looking at the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds provided by BetOnline.
Player Team Odds Harry Kane ENG +500 Kylian Mbappe FRA +600 Cristiano Ronaldo POR +1300 Jude Bellingham ENG +1600 Olivier Giroud FRA +2300 Antoine Griezmann FRA +2900 Bukayo Saka ENG +2900 Romelu Lukaku BEL +2900 Alvaro Morata ESP +3300 Diogo Jota POR +3300 Phil Foden ENG +3300 Kai Havertz GER +3500 Goncalo Ramos POR +3500 Rasmus Hojlund DEN +3500 Ciro Immobile ITA +4000 Cody Gakpo NED +4000 Marcus Rashford ENG +4000 Marcus Thuram FRA +4000 Memphis Depay NED +4000 Niclas Fullkrug GER +4000 Donyell Malen NED +4200 Aleksandar Mitrovic SRB +5000 Florian Wirtz GER +5000 Robert Lewandowski POL +5000 Harry Kane (+500) and Kylian Mbappe (+600) are odds-on, which coincides with their respective teams’ outright market. England is the favorite (+300) to win Euro 2024, and France is the second favorite (+380). This is the case at every online sportsbook we compared when writing this guide, with just minor fluctuations in the betting odds.
Euro 2020 Golden Boot winner Cristiano Ronaldo (+1300) is the third favorite, with attackers from popular nations, including Belgium, Germany, Spain, and the Netherlands, forming the surrounding pack.
Bet on Harry Kane to win Top Goalscorer using BetOnline:
Euro 2024 Qualifiers Top Goalscorers
The following table shows the top goalscorers from the Euro 2024 qualifiers. It shows which players were in the best form for their country in the run-up to the finals.
Player Team Goals Odds Romelu Lukaku Belgium 14 +2900 Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal 10 +1300 Kylian Mbappé France 9 +600 Harry Kane England 8 +500 Rasmus Højlund Denmark 7 +3500 Scott McTominay Scotland 7 +25000 Zeki Amdouni Switzerland 6 +15000 Bruno Fernandes Portugal 6 +5000 Aleksandar Mitrović Serbia 5 +5000 Benjamin Šeško Slovenia 5 +20000 Álvaro Morata Spain 4 +3300 Joselu Spain 4 +8000 Andrej Kramarić Croatia 4 +15000 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Georgia 4 +5000 Marcel Sabitzer Austria 4 +20000 Bukayo Saka England 4 +2900 Dominik Szoboszlai Hungary 4 +20000 Barnabás Varga Hungary 4 +20000 It’s important to note that while this is a good indication of each nation’s primary goal scorers, it isn’t the most reliable data.
Some players would have been injured during qualification, others would have been rotated due to club commitments, and some teams had more fixtures than others. In addition, some players would have been able to stat-pad playing against European minnows like Gibraltar and are unlikely to enjoy similar levels of success against the continent’s best at the main tournament.
To better understand if these players are expected to feature during Euro 2024, you should cross-check our Euro 2024 Predicted Lineups.
This table excludes players (for example, Norway’s Erling Haaland) who didn’t qualify for Euro 2024.
Bet on Romelu Lukaku to win the Golden Boot using BetOnline:
Euro Top Goalscorers Previous Winners List
Here is a list of the previous winners of the Euro top goalscorers. The list is only backdated to 1996 because that’s when the award was incepted. The tiebreaker rule was only introduced in 2008, which means the historical list of top goalscorers, dating back to 1960, has numerous winners.
Year Winner Team Goals 1996 Alan Shearer ENG 5 2000 Patrick Kluivert NET 5 – Savo Milošević YUG 5 2004 Milan Baroš CZE 5 2008 David Villa ESP 4 2012 Fernando Torres ESP 3* 2016 Antoine Griezmann FRA 6 2020 Cristiano Ronaldo POR 5** * In 2012, six players (Mario Balotelli, Alan Dzagoev, Mario Gómez, Mario Mandžukić, Cristiano Ronaldo, and Fernando Torres) were tied on three goals. The Golden Boot was given to Fernando Torres because he played the fewest minutes. This tie-breaker comes after the most assists, which was also tied.
** In 2020, Cristiano Ronaldo tied with Patrick Schick on five goals. Cristiano Ronaldo was given the Golden Boot due to recording one assist.
Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Betting Tips
There’s no given formula for Euro 2024 top goalscorer betting; however, some trends have emerged over the years. We’ve analyzed the trends since Euro 1996 so that you can capitalize on them when making your bets.
Player Penalties Final Position Hosts Alan Shearer 1 Semi-Finals England Patrick Kluivert 0 Semi-Finals Holland/Belgium Savo Milošević 0 Quarter-Finals Holland/Belgium Milan Baroš 0 Semi-Finals Portugal David Villa 0 Final Austria/Switzerland Fernando Torres 0 Final Poland/Ukraine Antoine Griezmann 1 Final France Cristiano Ronaldo 3 Round of 16 Europe* * Due to Covid-19, Euro 2020 was hosted in 11 UEFA countries as a one-off event.
Target Goalscorers From The Outright Favourites
The more matches you play, the more chance you have to score. That’s why it is no surprise that 100% of the Golden Boot winners since 1996 passed the group stages, with 75% reaching at least the semi-finals.
The only two Golden Boot winners who didn’t reach the final four in the last two years were Savo Milošević and Cristiano Ronaldo. Milošević’s Yugoslavia were knocked out in the quarter-finals a year before tie-breakers, which saw him joint-top goalscorer with Patrick Kluivert.
Cristiano Ronaldo was eliminated in the Round of 16 in Euro 2020. His three penalties during the competition helped ensure he maintained his Golden Boot regardless. According to our Euro 2024 group stage betting guide, England, Belgium Portugal, France & Germany have the best odds to qualify for the knockout stage at the best soccer betting sites.
Target Penalty Takers
VAR was introduced for the first time at Euro 2020. The competition then set a record for the most penalties at a European Championship, with 16 awarded. This beat the previous record of 13 set at Euro 2000.
In Euro 2020, Cristiano Ronaldo won the Golden Boot, with 60% of his goals coming from the penalty spot. Since the official award began, he also became the first player to claim the top goalscorer prize despite getting eliminated from the competition in the Round of 16.
With VAR in place for Euro 2024, it boosts the odds of players who are their team’s designated Euro 2024 penalty takers. Unless it was an anomaly (which it often is when it comes to Cristiano Ronaldo), the net is now cast wider for Golden Boot winners, with players bolstering their tally from the spot.
Backing The Host Nation
37.5% of Golden Boot winners since 1996 were playing for a host nation team. So, backing a striker from the host nation is definitely a viable betting strategy.
It’s worth noting that Cristiano Ronaldo wasn’t included in this statistic, even though Portugal was 1 of the 11 host nations in Euro 2020. We didn’t include him because he didn’t play a fixture in his home nation.
Where To Bet on the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer
It’s hard to look past BetOnline when it comes to the top sportsbooks for betting on the Euro 2024 Golden Boot. Based on our comparisons, the platform provides among the best odds for most players and offers several targeted soccer bonuses. These include free wagers on the live and prop betting markets.
In addition, newcomers to BetOnline can claim a 50% sports welcome promotion that’s worth up to $1,000 in free bets. Interested? Click the link below and sign up ahead of the big kickoff for Euro 2024 on June 14th.
FAQs
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