Euro 2024 is fast approaching, and the race for the Golden Boot is heating up. Understanding the UEFA Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer odds can give you a crucial edge in your betting strategy.
In this article, we’ll examine the latest odds for the favorites, highlight the top goalscorers from the qualifiers, and review historical trends and statistics.
We’ll also provide expert Euro 2024 betting tips for the top goalscorer market to help you make informed decisions, ensuring you stay ahead in the search for the next Golden Boot winner.
Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds
Let’s start by looking at the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds provided by BetOnline.
| Player | Team | Odds |
| Harry Kane | ENG | +500 |
| Kylian Mbappe | FRA | +600 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | POR | +1300 |
| Jude Bellingham | ENG | +1600 |
| Olivier Giroud | FRA | +2300 |
| Antoine Griezmann | FRA | +2900 |
| Bukayo Saka | ENG | +2900 |
| Romelu Lukaku | BEL | +2900 |
| Alvaro Morata | ESP | +3300 |
| Diogo Jota | POR | +3300 |
| Phil Foden | ENG | +3300 |
| Kai Havertz | GER | +3500 |
| Goncalo Ramos | POR | +3500 |
| Rasmus Hojlund | DEN | +3500 |
| Ciro Immobile | ITA | +4000 |
| Cody Gakpo | NED | +4000 |
| Marcus Rashford | ENG | +4000 |
| Marcus Thuram | FRA | +4000 |
| Memphis Depay | NED | +4000 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | GER | +4000 |
| Donyell Malen | NED | +4200 |
| Aleksandar Mitrovic | SRB | +5000 |
| Florian Wirtz | GER | +5000 |
| Robert Lewandowski | POL | +5000 |
Harry Kane (+500) and Kylian Mbappe (+600) are odds-on, which coincides with their respective teams’ outright market. England is the favorite (+300) to win Euro 2024, and France is the second favorite (+380). This is the case at every online sportsbook we compared when writing this guide, with just minor fluctuations in the betting odds.
Euro 2020 Golden Boot winner Cristiano Ronaldo (+1300) is the third favorite, with attackers from popular nations, including Belgium, Germany, Spain, and the Netherlands, forming the surrounding pack.
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Euro 2024 Qualifiers Top Goalscorers
The following table shows the top goalscorers from the Euro 2024 qualifiers. It shows which players were in the best form for their country in the run-up to the finals.
| Player | Team | Goals | Odds |
| Romelu Lukaku | Belgium | 14 | +2900 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | 10 | +1300 |
| Kylian Mbappé | France | 9 | +600 |
| Harry Kane | England | 8 | +500 |
| Rasmus Højlund | Denmark | 7 | +3500 |
| Scott McTominay | Scotland | 7 | +25000 |
| Zeki Amdouni | Switzerland | 6 | +15000 |
| Bruno Fernandes | Portugal | 6 | +5000 |
| Aleksandar Mitrović | Serbia | 5 | +5000 |
| Benjamin Šeško | Slovenia | 5 | +20000 |
| Álvaro Morata | Spain | 4 | +3300 |
| Joselu | Spain | 4 | +8000 |
| Andrej Kramarić | Croatia | 4 | +15000 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | Georgia | 4 | +5000 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | Austria | 4 | +20000 |
| Bukayo Saka | England | 4 | +2900 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | Hungary | 4 | +20000 |
| Barnabás Varga | Hungary | 4 | +20000 |
It’s important to note that while this is a good indication of each nation’s primary goal scorers, it isn’t the most reliable data.
Some players would have been injured during qualification, others would have been rotated due to club commitments, and some teams had more fixtures than others. In addition, some players would have been able to stat-pad playing against European minnows like Gibraltar and are unlikely to enjoy similar levels of success against the continent’s best at the main tournament.
To better understand if these players are expected to feature during Euro 2024, you should cross-check our Euro 2024 Predicted Lineups.
This table excludes players (for example, Norway’s Erling Haaland) who didn’t qualify for Euro 2024.
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Euro Top Goalscorers Previous Winners List
Here is a list of the previous winners of the Euro top goalscorers. The list is only backdated to 1996 because that’s when the award was incepted. The tiebreaker rule was only introduced in 2008, which means the historical list of top goalscorers, dating back to 1960, has numerous winners.
| Year | Winner | Team | Goals |
| 1996 | Alan Shearer | ENG | 5 |
| 2000 | Patrick Kluivert | NET | 5 |
| – | Savo Milošević | YUG | 5 |
| 2004 | Milan Baroš | CZE | 5 |
| 2008 | David Villa | ESP | 4 |
| 2012 | Fernando Torres | ESP | 3* |
| 2016 | Antoine Griezmann | FRA | 6 |
| 2020 | Cristiano Ronaldo | POR | 5** |
* In 2012, six players (Mario Balotelli, Alan Dzagoev, Mario Gómez, Mario Mandžukić, Cristiano Ronaldo, and Fernando Torres) were tied on three goals. The Golden Boot was given to Fernando Torres because he played the fewest minutes. This tie-breaker comes after the most assists, which was also tied.
** In 2020, Cristiano Ronaldo tied with Patrick Schick on five goals. Cristiano Ronaldo was given the Golden Boot due to recording one assist.
Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Betting Tips
There’s no given formula for Euro 2024 top goalscorer betting; however, some trends have emerged over the years. We’ve analyzed the trends since Euro 1996 so that you can capitalize on them when making your bets.
| Player | Penalties | Final Position | Hosts |
| Alan Shearer | 1 | Semi-Finals | England |
| Patrick Kluivert | 0 | Semi-Finals | Holland/Belgium |
| Savo Milošević | 0 | Quarter-Finals | Holland/Belgium |
| Milan Baroš | 0 | Semi-Finals | Portugal |
| David Villa | 0 | Final | Austria/Switzerland |
| Fernando Torres | 0 | Final | Poland/Ukraine |
| Antoine Griezmann | 1 | Final | France |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 3 | Round of 16 | Europe* |
* Due to Covid-19, Euro 2020 was hosted in 11 UEFA countries as a one-off event.
Target Goalscorers From The Outright Favourites
The more matches you play, the more chance you have to score. That’s why it is no surprise that 100% of the Golden Boot winners since 1996 passed the group stages, with 75% reaching at least the semi-finals.
The only two Golden Boot winners who didn’t reach the final four in the last two years were Savo Milošević and Cristiano Ronaldo. Milošević’s Yugoslavia were knocked out in the quarter-finals a year before tie-breakers, which saw him joint-top goalscorer with Patrick Kluivert.
Cristiano Ronaldo was eliminated in the Round of 16 in Euro 2020. His three penalties during the competition helped ensure he maintained his Golden Boot regardless. According to our Euro 2024 group stage betting guide, England, Belgium Portugal, France & Germany have the best odds to qualify for the knockout stage at the best soccer betting sites.
Target Penalty Takers
VAR was introduced for the first time at Euro 2020. The competition then set a record for the most penalties at a European Championship, with 16 awarded. This beat the previous record of 13 set at Euro 2000.
In Euro 2020, Cristiano Ronaldo won the Golden Boot, with 60% of his goals coming from the penalty spot. Since the official award began, he also became the first player to claim the top goalscorer prize despite getting eliminated from the competition in the Round of 16.
With VAR in place for Euro 2024, it boosts the odds of players who are their team’s designated Euro 2024 penalty takers. Unless it was an anomaly (which it often is when it comes to Cristiano Ronaldo), the net is now cast wider for Golden Boot winners, with players bolstering their tally from the spot.
Backing The Host Nation
37.5% of Golden Boot winners since 1996 were playing for a host nation team. So, backing a striker from the host nation is definitely a viable betting strategy.
It’s worth noting that Cristiano Ronaldo wasn’t included in this statistic, even though Portugal was 1 of the 11 host nations in Euro 2020. We didn’t include him because he didn’t play a fixture in his home nation.
Where To Bet on the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer
It’s hard to look past BetOnline when it comes to the top sportsbooks for betting on the Euro 2024 Golden Boot. Based on our comparisons, the platform provides among the best odds for most players and offers several targeted soccer bonuses. These include free wagers on the live and prop betting markets.
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